Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 8.615046 10.057197 11.634909 13.484845 15.590108 17.906838 20.644619
2026-01-25 5.983304 7.873588 10.161187 13.113166 16.799014 21.225021 26.915105
2026-02-01 4.464389 6.475530 9.114515 12.785583 17.707098 24.017153 32.648817
2026-02-08 3.400526 5.370888 8.143667 12.254784 18.102859 26.014831 37.394510
2026-02-15 2.678074 4.568034 7.399161 11.838884 18.487147 27.904164 42.034157
2026-02-22 2.314581 4.220150 7.231900 12.184439 19.925664 31.314330 49.004328
2026-03-01 2.031972 3.941133 7.111016 12.553203 21.393841 34.845546 56.387058
2026-03-08 1.670358 3.455023 6.572741 12.165866 21.611609 36.475948 61.010022
2026-03-15 1.396606 3.072389 6.144656 11.888362 21.944777 38.267903 65.963739
2026-03-22 1.290362 2.988155 6.227400 12.491098 23.783353 42.574589 75.168853
2026-03-29 1.173061 2.859090 6.205330 12.893575 25.299009 46.445138 83.908847
2026-04-05 1.027714 2.643031 5.983445 12.892041 26.084828 49.129860 90.841261
2026-04-12 0.889341 2.428002 5.757520 12.905489 26.992911 52.256621 99.042666
2026-04-19 0.739679 2.156716 5.378539 12.579665 27.258816 54.328839 105.684738
2026-04-26 0.616582 1.920116 5.032743 12.270035 27.514134 56.392083 112.458423
2026-05-03 0.502091 1.675260 4.622713 11.759410 27.300601 57.550783 117.657552
2026-05-10 0.413922 1.477992 4.286902 11.358657 27.255172 59.001317 123.469814
2026-05-17 0.375553 1.416144 4.273452 11.691860 28.787101 63.615150 135.544008
2026-05-24 0.342522 1.362112 4.270441 12.047447 30.398087 68.496755 148.440099
2026-05-31 0.285222 1.212394 3.985188 11.673962 30.348242 70.018266 154.871808
2026-06-07 0.240662 1.091804 3.756339 11.406412 30.503744 71.960213 162.247740
2026-06-14 0.228077 1.083707 3.849989 11.987562 32.692572 78.315736 178.916918
2026-06-21 0.210800 1.052807 3.870431 12.375692 34.455890 83.879544 194.284966